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Wednesday, April 2, 2025

StubHub Holdings set to enter public markets. Here’s what to expect


After a modest start to the year, the IPO market is witnessing an increase in activity led by technology and healthcare companies. StubHub Holdings, a leading online ticket marketplace for entertainment events like sports and concerts, recently filed to become a public entity.

The tech firm has applied to list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol STUB. Meanwhile, details like the number of shares being offered and the offer price are yet to be disclosed. The group of underwriters in the offering is led by J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs. The management plans to use proceeds from the offering mainly to repay debt and for general corporate purposes, including working capital, operating expenses, and capital expenditures.

Key Metrics

StubHub’s revenue performance was quite impressive in the past two years. In fiscal 2024, revenues increased 30% year-over-year to $1.77 billion. Despite the strong topline growth, the company reported a net loss of $55.1 million or $0.91 per share, attributable to common stockholders, compared to a profit of $351.5 million or $5.71 per share in fiscal 2023. Net cash provided by operating activities for the year was $261.5 million.

StubHub was founded in 2000 as the first online marketplace for secondary tickets by Eric Baker, who currently serves as the chief executive officer. It was acquired by eBay in 2007, before Baker reacquired the business through his new company Viagogo. StubHub’s global presence provides its leading distribution capabilities and reach among fans around the world.

Outlook

In the SEC filing, the company said it expects a significant opportunity to leverage its data and technology to create a comprehensive platform for all event-related content. However, StubHub’s business is vulnerable to factors that affect the live events market, like the pandemic which brought the entire industry to a standstill a few years ago.



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Bitcoin can hit $250K in 2025 if Fed shifts to QE: Arthur Hayes


Bitcoin may still rise to over $250,000 before the end of the year, with expectations of an increasing fiat supply remaining the significant catalyst for the world’s first cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) 2025 price rally may be boosted by the US Federal Reserve pivoting to quantitative easing (QE), when the Fed buys bonds and pumps money into the economy to lower interest rates and encourage spending during difficult financial conditions. 

“Bitcoin trades solely based on the market expectation for the future supply of fiat,” according to Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and chief investment officer of Maelstrom.

Hayes wrote in an April 1 Substack post:

“If my analysis of the Fed’s major pivot from QT to QE for treasuries is correct, then Bitcoin hit a local low of $76,500 last month, and now we begin the ascent to $250,000 by year-end.”

The Fed reduced the Treasury runoff cap to $5 billion per month from $25 billion effective April 1, while keeping mortgage-backed securities (MBS) runoff steady at $35 billion.

The Fed may allow the MBS roll off without replacement and the excess principal payment might be reinvested into Treasurys, according to comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell published by Reuters.

“Mathematically, that keeps the Fed balance sheet constant; however, that is treasury QE. Bitcoin will scream higher once this is formally announced,” added Hayes.

Related: Bitcoin’s next catalyst: End of $36T US debt ceiling suspension

Other analysts are eying a more conservative Bitcoin price top based on BTC’s correlation with the global liquidity index.

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BTC projected to reach $132,000 based on M2 money supply growth. Source: Jamie Coutts

The growing money supply could push Bitcoin’s price above $132,000 before the end of 2025, according to estimates from Jamie Coutts, chief crypto analyst at Real Vision.

Related: Bitcoin ‘more likely’ to hit $110K before $76.5K — Arthur Hayes

Fed will “flood the market with dollars” 

Hayes has been “buying Bitcoin and shitcoins at all levels between $90,000 to $76,500,” showcasing his conviction in the crypto market for the rest of 2025. The pace of capital deployment will increase or decrease depending on the accuracy of his predictions.

“I still believe Bitcoin can hit $250,000 by year-end because now that the BBC has put Powell in his place, the Fed will flood the market with dollars,” wrote Hayes, adding:

“That allows Xi Jinping to instruct the PBOC to stop tightening monetary conditions onshore to defend the dollar-yuan exchange rate, which increases the net quantity of yuan.”

Despite the optimistic prediction, many market participants are betting on a lower Bitcoin price top for the end of 2025.

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Source: Polymarket

Only 9% of traders have placed bets on Bitcoin hitting $250,000, while 60% expect Bitcoin to hit $110,000 in 2025, according to Polymarket, the largest decentralized predictions market.

Still, Bitcoin and global risk appetite remain pressured by global tariff fears ahead of US President Donald Trump’s upcoming tariff announcement, scheduled for April 2.

“Long-term positioning remains intact, but near-term momentum appears tethered to unfolding macro headlines,” Stella Zlatareva, dispatch editor at digital asset investment platform Nexo, told Cointelegraph.

Magazine: Bitcoin’s odds of June highs, SOL’s $485M outflows, and more: Hodler’s Digest, March 2 – 8



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How to Make a SUCCESSFUL CAREER in Finance? | FINANCE Jobs | Step-by-Step Guide for 2024-25!



Feeling lost about your career path? Considering finance but unsure if it’s for you? You’re not alone! Schools don’t teach finance, leaving many in the dark. But fear not!
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Hello Everyone, My Name is Ishaan Arora.
I’m the co-founder of Finladder, an EdTech company that is helping the youth of India enhance their Skills and Learn more about Finance.

In this channel, we will be discussing Career Guidance and Finance related Topics.
Hope you will enjoy it!

Thank You!

Connect with me on Socials
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First Quarter 2025 Review & Outlook


Executive Summary

  • The S&P 500 registered its worst quarterly performance since Q3 2022
  • Economic, geopolitical, and market uncertainties remain elevated
  • S&P 500 corporate EPS is forecasted to grow 11.5% in CY 2025  
  • 8 of 11 large cap sectors are positive YTD
  • HY Credit and UST rates are not reflecting economic contraction
  • The Federal Reserve is on the sidelines and projects lower real rates


The first quarter of 2025 has been a period of significant economic, geopolitical and market turbulence in the United States. Slowing economic data, rising global tensions and increasing policy uncertainty contributed to an unwinding of the so-called “Trump trade,” giving way to increased market volatility, lower UST yields and U.S. equity market corrections. The uncertainty has only increased with the Federal Reserve on the sidelines and the administration placing greater emphasis on funding (i.e., lower rates) over the wealth effect (i.e., stock market).

Following a 57.8% total return over the prior two years, marking its best two-year performance since 1998 (26 years), the flagship S&P 500 corrected more than 10% in the latter half of Q1 leading to its worst quarterly performance (-4.3%) since the peak of the hiking cycle in Q3 2022.  

Aside from the Nasdaq-100 and Nasdaq Composite indices, which benefitted in December with greater weightings towards large-cap growth, the major equity indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial, S&P MidCap 400 & Russell 2000) registered monthly declines in three of the prior four months starting in December. Large-cap growth held up near its cycle highs into mid-February before succumbing to the rotation of selling pressure. Today, each of the majors have corrected at least 10% from their recent highs, while all reside below their respective 200-day simple moving average (sma).

Screenshot%202025-04-01%20at%203.12.35%E2%80%AFPM

For most stocks outside of large-cap growth, the corrective price action started in December, when eight of 11 large-cap sectors finished that month in the red for an average decline of 7.7%, while all 11 small-cap sectors finished in the red for an average decline of 8.3%. By the end of Q1, the 11 large-cap sectors declined an average of 9.7% from their respective 52-week highs, while the 11 small-cap sectors declined 17.1% from their respective 52-week highs.       

From a glass half full perspective, most large-cap sectors experienced their greatest declines in December and downside momentum has since been waning. At the end of Q1, eight of 11 sectors are positive YTD.  

Screenshot%202025-04-01%20at%203.15.23%E2%80%AFPM

Screenshot%202025-04-01%20at%203.17.36%E2%80%AFPM

Screenshot%202025-04-01%20at%203.18.51%E2%80%AFPM

While U.S. equity markets are correcting their historic gains from the prior two years, many overseas economies are rebounding from prior economic slowdowns driven in part by fiscal and monetary stimulus and a weakening U.S. dollar. China’s stimulus measures included wage increases for millions of government workers, higher state and local government bond issuance to support real estate and the banking system, expansion of the consumer goods trade-in program, and an overall increase to the budget deficit to the highest on record since 2010. Europe’s increasing fiscal spending is in part driven by its focus on rebuilding national defense as U.S. leadership has cast doubt on NATO mutual defense clauses. Notably, Germany is aiming to overhaul long standing debt rules and releasing its “fiscal break.”

U.S. economic data has been cooling throughout 2025. Housing inventories have risen to pre-covid levels raising concerns there could be a slowdown in residential construction later this year. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 6.65% in late March, but it likely needs to move lower to improve existing home sales which for two years have been hovering at levels last seen during covid and the GFC eras. While employment appears solid, there are signs amidst quit rates, real wages, new hires, and average weekly hours which may suggest future upward pressure in the unemployment rate. Consensus currently projects 2025 Real GDP of 2%, however the widely referenced Atlanta Fed GDPNow economic model now projects a sizeable contraction (-2.8%) for Q1 2025. The alternative model forecast adjusting for imports and exports of gold projects a contraction of 0.5%.  

Screenshot%202025-04-01%20at%203.21.27%E2%80%AFPM

The Federal Reserve paused its rate cutting cycle with Chair Powell affirming the Fed is in “no hurry” to cut rates at the most recent March FOMC. The Fed’s quarterly SEP (March) projected lower growth (GDP from 2.1% to 1.7%) and higher inflation (core-PCE from 2.5% to 2.8%) for CY 2025 but held constant its FFR guidance at 3.9%, implying just two 25bp rate cuts. The Fed noted the economy is in good shape but also placed strong emphasis on the increasing uncertainty surrounding the economy and its future projections. Some argue the Fed’s monetary policy is too tight, creating a passive tightening effect by waiting for bad news to act which puts excess strain on cyclical areas of the market. The old market mantra “don’t fight the Fed” has been replaced by “don’t fight the Treasury”

Looking Ahead

Corporate earnings and revenue expectations have come in throughout Q1. According to FactSet, projected S&P 500 earnings growth for CY 2025 has declined from 14.8% at the start of the year to now 11.5%, while projected revenues have fallen from 5.8% to 5.4%. For Q1 2025, analysts are project S&P 500 EPS growth of 7.3% and revenue growth of 4.2%. The S&P 500’s forward 12-month PE ratio is currently 20.5 which is down from 21.5 at YE 2024, but above the 5-year and 10-year averages of 19.9 and 18.3, respectively.  

The administration’s April 2nd “Liberation Day” implements a range of tariffs on imports. These tariffs are designed to be broad-based and reciprocal, matching the duties that other countries charge on U.S. products. This contributed to elevated uncertainties for the capital markets as the specifics evolved and resulting impacts remain unclear. 

 While markets hate uncertainty, there are reasons to believe much of the risk is already priced into the stock market which could be closer to bottoming than continuing meaningfully lower. The strength in foreign equity markets reflecting greater monetary and fiscal stimulus supports an improving global growth outlook. Long UST yields are rangebound with the UST 10-year yield at 4.25% at the end of Q1 which is well above the 2024 lows of 3.6% suggesting the rates market is currently not fearing recession. HY Credit spreads (chart below) have widened marginally in 2025 and remain far below prior recession levels.   

Screenshot%202025-04-01%20at%203.23.42%E2%80%AFPM


The information contained herein is provided for informational and educational purposes only, and nothing contained herein should be construed as investment advice, either on behalf of a particular security or an overall investment strategy. All information contained herein is obtained by Nasdaq from sources believed by Nasdaq to be accurate and reliable. However, all information is provided “as is” without warranty of any kind. ADVICE FROM A SECURITIES PROFESSIONAL IS STRONGLY ADVISED. 



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Tuesday, April 1, 2025

How the Future of IT Is Being Redefined


 

As Chief Technology Officer at Deloitte, you help clients anticipate the impact that emerging technologies may have on their business in the future. Based on your experience, what’s a tech trend on the verge of a breakthrough in 2025?

I’ve spent a lot of time hearing about the cross-industry experiences and real-world tech stories of my clients, and what I’ve found is that looking at how multiple trends are converging is much more important than focusing on a single trend. Individual technologies like spatial computing and quantum computing have seen new use cases and increased interest, and that will likely continue into 2025 and beyond, but understanding how those work with exigent systems and shift broader tech ecosystems is the crux of the story. It’s why in our annual Tech Trends report we focus on explaining the holistic changes that are moving new technologies from sensational to foundational. The multitude of elevating forces like spatial computing, AI and quantum that have made headlines this year play as much of a role as grounding forces like core modernization in a complete and balanced tech strategy – and together show how the future of IT is being redefined in 2025.

Deloitte’s Tech Trends 2025 report highlights how AI is “being woven into the fabric of our lives.” How do you see AI continuing to transform the way businesses operate in the short and long term?

In the past, AI was confined to a single trend in our annual Tech Trends report. This year, we’re seeing its impact across nearly all our trends. Rather than contain it to one chapter, AI is a foundational element in nearly every trend. We’re already seeing AI change how organizations deploy talent and resources in real time. It’s becoming essential to businesses, and as AI continues to converge with new technology and tools, its impact will create even more use cases.

Short term, we’re seeing AI integrate with hardware, robotics, and AR/VR tools to create AI embedded processes within teams and industries. Industries like manufacturing, healthcare, and more will all benefit from hardware convergence with AI – as simulations and testing will take on a whole new meaning. Technical engineering and developer teams stand to benefit from AI too, both in hardware and agentic models. Agents can help deploy technical IT talent and resources to the most pressing/important tasks, where hardware can help problem solve and process solutions at a higher, more precise rate – redefining how we use businesses use their critical IT talent.

Long term, AI’s ability to merge with cutting-edge technologies, like quantum computing, will unlock an entirely new era of encryption. This future isn’t as distant as many may think, and AI’s shifting role in work and life will play a pivotal role in how this next age of technology continues to shape up.

Additionally, the Tech Trends report states that the AI revolution will demand heavy energy and hardware resources. How can companies ensure they have the infrastructure required to support their AI needs?

As we move towards a future with AI embedded in core functions, the implications for hardware needs are huge. Leaders really need to make sure they have the right architecture in place to fully realize AI’s potential. Organizations operating with heavy technical debt build up, i.e., outdated legacy systems and patch work IT practices, won’t be able to reap the full functionality of AI. Modernized systems, tools, and practices are the minimum barrier to entry in an AI embedded world.

As AI becomes like electricity, critical but often unnoticed, organizations need to have the right systems/parameters in place. A modernized architecture is where all leaders need to start – understanding the places that are fully functioning along with the areas that need improvement. Starting there and working their way up to talent and training will ensure organizations are prepared to realize AI as a foundational force in business.

The report also puts a spotlight on quantum. While quantum computing is not new, a new era for quantum seems to be approaching. As the report notes, “the question isn’t if quantum computers are coming — it’s when.” How can companies start preparing today for the benefits and risks that quantum pose?

Quantum will change encryption at its core, and this future may not be far away. Although we don’t know exactly when, the time to prepare for widespread quantum adoption is now because of how complex it can be for organizations to safeguard their data and network against a cryptographically relevant quantum computer (CRQC). Enterprises that put off the cybersecurity hygiene that secures their tools, teams and network systems may not have time to catch up once that timeline becomes clearer.

Developing a holistic preparation approach ensures the right people and processes are in place to seamlessly integrate new encryption standards into all workflows. Start by prioritizing immediate intervention where needed. Establish governance and policy, understand your current cryptographic exposure, assess how best to prioritize remediation efforts across your infrastructure and supply chain, and build a comprehensive road map for internal updates and contractual mechanisms to ensure vendors meet the updated standards.

Leaders should look to new standards that NIST released in August 2024 that contain encryption algorithms organizations can implement to withstand attacks from quantum computers.

On the other hand, quantum computers are likely to bring significant benefits to a range of areas, such as drug discovery, financial modeling and other use cases that improve people’s lives. This is why enterprises should start hardening their defenses now so that they are prepared to reap the potential benefits of quantum computing without major disruption from its risks.


 



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Tether Buys 8,888 Bitcoin (BTC): A Strategic Move or a Risky Bet? – Coinspeaker



Tether Buys 8,888 Bitcoin (BTC): A Strategic Move or a Risky Bet?  Coinspeaker



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🚨 ALERTE CRYPTO !! NEWS IMPORTANTES AUJOURD'HUI pour BITCOIN !! 🚀



1f6a8 ALERTE CRYPTO !! NEWS IMPORTANTES AUJOURD’HUI pour BITCOIN !! 1f680

Journée cruciale pour les marchés ! Ce 27 mars 2025, les chiffres du PIB US tombent… et ils pourraient déterminer la prochaine grosse direction du Bitcoin et des cryptos ! 1f4c91f4c8

Le marché est à un tournant :
27a1 Si le sommet de lundi est chassé avant la news → Attention à un piège haussier suivi d’un crash !
27a1 Si le plus bas de lundi est chassé → Les chiffres du PIB pourraient être bons et le rebond risk-on pourrait continuer !

Pendant ce temps, Ethereum pousse au-dessus des $2000… Une montée jusqu’à $2500 est-elle possible ? Ou est-ce un simple bull trap ? 1f440

1f4a5 Dans cette vidéo stratégique, on voit ensemble :
2705 Analyse complète de la situation macro (PIB US) 1f9e0
2705 Scénarios techniques clairs à court terme pour BTC & ETH 1f4ca
2705 Le comportement du marché avant / après news économiques
2705 Zones clés à surveiller aujourd’hui pour ne pas se faire piéger
2705 Mon plan de trading selon les deux scénarios possibles

26a0 Ne prends aucune décision avant d’avoir vu cette vidéo !

1f4e2 Like, commente, abonne-toi et active la cloche 1f514 pour ne pas rater l’analyse du prochain gros mouvement crypto.

1f680 REJOINS LES OPPORTUNITÉS TRADING & FORMATIONS :
1f4c8 Trade sur BitGet avec jusqu’à $8000 de bonus ici :
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1f4da Formation Gratuite : Guide Complet Crypto & Plan Bull Run
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1f3a5 Présentation de la formation ici :
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1f4cc Suis-nous sur les réseaux :
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1f426 Twitter :
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26a0 Disclaimer : Ceci n’est pas un conseil en investissement. DYOR. Les cryptos sont volatiles. Reste prudent.
1f4e2 Ce contenu est destiné exclusivement aux personnes résidant en dehors de toute juridiction française. Les informations fournies ne constituent en aucun cas une sollicitation, une offre ou une recommandation à l’intention des résidents français ou des citoyens français, où qu’ils se trouvent.
Les services et produits mentionnés ne sont pas destinées aux résidents français, conformément aux lois et réglementations en vigueur en France, notamment celles relatives à la protection des investisseurs et aux offres financières.

00:00 Sommaire Crypto : Bitcoin BTC et Ethereum ETH
00:22 Algos rentables disponibles
01:24 Crypto : Tarrifs de Trump et News du jour
02:01 Crypto : Analyse Bitcoin BTC et Nasdaq
07:43 Crypto : Analyse Ethereum ETH
13:43 Outro : Mentorship et Mon École

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